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Is UPA Govt without TMC relieved or in a soup? | The acute cacophony over unexpected bold series of reforms between Congress-led UPA-II Government and its mercurial key ally partner Trinamool Congress (TMC) that eventually resulted in the latter pulling out of the alliance, hit the media
on Friday evening. Is the Centre relieved after TMC supremo Mamata Banerjee withdrew
her support? Was Banerjee an albatross round the Prime Minister Dr. Manmohan Singh
government's neck which has felt relieved after the maverick Banerjee detached
her regional TMC, in charge of the debt-ridden West Bengal state? After months
of stuttering performance of Asia's third largest economy specially due to global
economic crisis and domestic political gridlock, India had to liberalise its economy
by opening up its supermarket sector and announce FDI in airlines and broadcasters
in a bid to stave off a ratings downgrade, just a day after it increased price
of heavily subsidized diesel. "I believe that these steps will help strengthen
our growth process and generate employment in these difficult times," Dr. Singh
said via microblogging site Twitter soon after the announcement. Singh's bold
step to liberalise India's battered economy earned brickbats from many quarters
including his firebrand coalition partner Banerjee, whose TMC rules West Bengal
state after dethroning the over three decades long Communist regime. She gave
him 72-hours of ultimatum (that ended on September 18 evening) to trash the reforms
long-sought by investors. Last year, the Indian Government had to put the plans
to open up its retail industry to foreign supermarkets on hold after Banerjee
exerted intense pressure on Singh's government. But this time, Singh's government
seemed in no mood to cave in to the pressure of the defiant coalition partner
after facing the threat of having its credit rating downgraded to junk and remained
confident of aiming at reviving the stammering Indian economy. But finally, the
relation between UPA and TMC that was hanging by a slender thread broke off after
Singh, who has been widely criticised for presiding his corrupt government in
timid manner, regained his muscle after facing the threat of having its credit
rating downgraded to junk, and so he remained bold of aiming at reviving the stammering
Indian economy. Sticking to her decision to pull out of the UPA, the firebrand
TMC supremo Banerjee announced that her party's ministers at the Centre would
resign on Friday. "The game is over. There is no room for negotiation. We will
launch a nationwide protest against FDI in retail. The UPA government was in a
hurry to introduce FDI in retail by bypassing the Parliament. This is a minority
government and the act of bypassing the Parliament is most unethical," TMC leader
Mukul Roy, who held the portfolio of Railway Ministry in Singh's government, told
mediapersons before submitting his resignation. And as per their announcement,
six union ministers of Banerjee-led TMC including Railways Minister Mukul Roy
and rest of the five (Saugata Roy, Sudip Bandyopadhyay, Choudhury Mohan Jatua,
Sultan Ahmed and Sisir Kumar Adhikari) ministers of state met Singh at his official
residence in New Delhi, submitted their resignations and further moved to Rashtrapati
Bhavan to meet President Pranab Mukherjee to formally announce their withdrawal
of support to the ruling UPA coalition on Friday evening. Sudeep Bandopadhyay,
who was the Minister of State for Health, said the stability of the UPA government
is in danger. "We are happy as we are resigning for the people. The stability
of the government will fall. We will dominate Indian politics in the future,"
he said. Has the Government of India landed in a soup? Will it be able to retain
its majority in Lok Sabha? "Posterity tends to be excessively harsh on losers.
In the coming months, after the present political storm has either subsided or
transformed itself into a fierce cyclone, the Congress will no doubt reflect on
the course of events that led to Mamata Banerjee withdrawing her Trinamool Congress
from the UPA-2," senior journalist Swapan Dasgupta wrote in his column published
in The Asian Age. David Sloan, an analyst at political risk research consultant
Eurasia , told Reuters: "Barring a political perfect storm, we now believe that
the current government is likely to limp along through the scheduled end of its
five-year term in mid-2014." BJP national spokesperson Ravi Shankar Prasad earlier
said 'the beginning of the downfall of India 's corruption-plagued government
has started'. But soon after Indian Government's shaky coalition after TMC formally
withdrawing its support, Singh in (his third televised address in eight years
in office) 12-minute speech reasoned for some important economic policy decisions
the government has recently taken, saying the reforms were necessary to curb a
ballooning fiscal deficit and revive the stuttering economy. "The challenge is
that we have to do this at a time when the world economy is experiencing great
difficulty. The United States and Europe are struggling to deal with an economic
slowdown and financial crisis. Even China is slowing down," said Singh in his
unusual televised address on Friday. "The message given was that 'we don't need
(Trinamool Congress) for survival of the government and we'll go ahead with the
reforms because that is what's good for the country," D.H. Pai Panandiker, head
of the RPG Foundation, a New Delhi-based think-tank, said of Singh's speech. After
Trinamool Congress's withdrawal of support, the UPA Government's support in Lok
Sabha has come down from 273 to 254 leaving the coalition heavily dependent on
Samajwadi Party (22) and BSP (21) for its majority in the House. For a simple
majority, the Manmohan Singh-led government needs the support of at least 273
MPs in a House of 545. Samajwadi Party chief Mulayam Singh Yadav earlier said
that his party would continue to lend outside support to the Congress-led government.
"Our support is clear. We will not let communal forces come to power. That is
why I am supporting. I am not in UPA. But we are supporting so that communal forces
do not go ahead," he said. Mayawati's Bahujan Samajwadi Party is, however, yet
to make any announcement on providing support to the UPA coalition. There are
many other smaller groups weighing their options. Much would depend on the result
of the economic policies put forward by the Government. For the present, Dr Manmohan
Singh has successfully avoided falling into a soup. What next?
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