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Shyam Saran's analysis of China's world view | Former Foreign Secretary Shyam Saran on Wednesday rendered a broad sweep
analysis on 'China in the 21st Century: What India Needs to Know About China's World
View', saying one has to only look at how modern, digital culture has pervaded Chinese
society, in particular, its youth, to be cautious in making judgments about the country's view of
itself.
While delivering the second edition of Annual Krishnaswamy Subrahmanyam Memorial
Lecture in New Delhi , Saran offered some ideas on a subject that K. Subrahmanyam - India
's greatest strategic thinkers - was convinced, would remain a major preoccupation for India
in the decades to come, the challenge of an ascendant China .
Rendering a broad sweep analysis Saran said: "Managing the China challenge requires a much
deeper understanding of the nature of Chinese civilization, its cultural particularities and the
worldview of its people, formed layer upon layer, over five thousand years of unbroken
though sometimes tumultuous history. China is undergoing a dramatic transformation and its
traditional culture and ways of thinking can no longer be sourced only to persistent templates
derived from the past."
"Nevertheless, there are certain deeply rooted elements that shape China 's psyche and its
world view that are worth careful reflection, including where India fits into that broad
consciousness. At various points, I will also try and contrast Chinese and Indian cultural and
philosophical traits, so that one is better prepared in adjusting one's own template in judging
Chinese behaviour," he said.
Underscoring further Saran said, "Deception, let me add, is not unique to Chinese strategic
thinking."
The former foreign secretary further suggested that to deal with China , one must constantly
analyze the domestic and geopolitical environment as perceived by China , which is the prism
through which its strategic calculus is shaped and implemented.
While delivering the annual lecture to honour the memory of one of Subrahmanyam, Saran
highlighted the Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao India visit in April 2005, when India was being
courted as an emerging power both by Europe and the U.S. , thereby expanding its own room
for manoeuvre.
"The Chinese response to this was to project a more positive and amenable posture towards
India . This took the shape of concluding the significant Political Parameters and Guiding
Principles for seeking a settlement of the border issue; the depiction of Sikkim as part of India
territory in Chinese maps and the declaration of a bilateral Strategic and Cooperative
Partnership with India ," said Saran.
"In private parleys with Indian leaders, their Chinese counterparts conveyed a readiness to
accept India 's permanent membership of the Security Council, though it was not willing to
state this in black and white in the Joint Statement. Since then, however, as Indian prospects
appeared to have diminished and the perceived power gap with China has widened, the
Chinese sensitivity to Indian interests has also eroded. It is only in recent months that the tide
has turned somewhat, when China has been facing a countervailing backlash to its assertive
posture in the South China Sea and the US has declared its intention to "rebalance" its security
assets in the Asia-Pacific region," he added.
"There has been a setback to Chinese hitherto dominating presence in Myanmar and a steady
devaluation of Pakistan 's value to China as a proxy power to contain India . There has been a
setback to Chinese hitherto dominating presence in Myanmar and a steady devaluation of
Pakistan 's value to China as a proxy power to contain India . At home, there are prospects of
slower growth and persistent ethnic unrest in Xinjiang and Tibet . A major leadership
transition is underway adding to the overall sense of uncertainly and anxiety."
Analysing this, Saran said, "We are, therefore, once again witnessing another renewed though
probably temporary phase of greater friendliness towards India , but it's a pity that we are
unable to engage in active and imaginative diplomacy to leverage this opportunity to India 's
enduring advantage, given the growing incoherence of our national polity."
The former foreign secretary briefly spoke on Chinese attitudes specific to India and how
China sees itself in relation to India.
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