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Monsoon to be 96 percent of long term average | Allaying concerns over low farm
output owing to sparse rainfall, the weather office on Friday said that the monsoon
is expected to be average this year. Minister of State (MoS) for Science and Technology,
Ashwani Kumar said that in all probability the country would witness normal monsoon
from June to September. “According to the prognosis that they (the weather office)
have today, they expect to have a normal monsoon from June to September. We have
a very good probability and possibility of an absolutely normal monsoon,” Kumar
said. The Metrological Department said in a statement that monsoon rains in 2012
would be 96 percent of the long-term average overall, down from its April forecast
of 99 percent. A normal or average monsoon means rainfall between 96-104 percent
of a 50-year average of 89 centimetres in total, during the four-month season
from June, according to weather office classification. Kumar also said that the
agricultural production would not be affected by the monsoon, as the deficient
areas were well equipped with irrigation facilities. “The impact (of monsoon)
on the agricultural economy is going to be near normal in the sense that in slightly
deficient areas, as far as the paddy crop is concerned, it will not be affected
because they are 98 percent irrigated areas,” Kumar added. Kumar said that he
was optimistic that there would be heavy rainfall in the coming days. “There was
a deficiency of 42 percent in the beginning of June. As June month has progressed
that deficiency of 42 percent has now declined to now 24 percent and as we progress
further in the end of June and July we expect heavy showers,” he said.
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