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Obama Visit: Less to give, more to take? | As President Obama and accompanying American CEOs' reached Mumbai today, it is quite evident why he chose India's
financial capital as his first stop. Unlike his predecessor -- George W Bush --
who offered India a historic civil nuclear deal in 2005, Obama is more likely
to take than give to India. The United States is still recovering from recession
and its unemployment rate is hovering above the nine percent mark, which is adjacent
to India's growth rate. A drubbing in the mid-term poll earlier this week, clearly
reflects that Obama's economic policies have failed to captivate the American
imagination. The US recognizes that India can play a big role in bailing the country
out of recession. Recent Indian acquisitions have created and saved 65,000 jobs
in the US. Indian companies invested 5.5 billion dollars in American Greenfield
projects between 2004-09. In mergers and acquisition of companies in the US, Indian
companies have invested 20 billion dollars in the last five years. India has emerged
as the second-fastest growing investor in the United States, after the United
Arab Emirates, said FICCI and Ernst and Young in a joint report. However, almost
60 percent of investments made by Indian firms in US is in pharmaceuticals and
the IT sector. A recession-hit US would certainly like to enlarge the basket by
relaxing the export of high technology and dramatically jack up Indian investments,
especially in defence and space technologies. President Obama has centered his
India visit on business and job creation and had even indicated that Washington
is considering a lifting of ban on dual use high technology. The export ban has
remained, despite the passage of the Indo-US nuclear deal in March 2008, mainly
because of India's refusal to sign Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT). New
Delhi believes that dual-use sanctions had no place in the burgeoning partnership
and views it as anachronistic. Overall, total exports of advanced technology products
exported from the U.S. to India have increased from 1.3 billion dollars in 2003
to over four billion dollars in 2009, despite the global economic slowdown. The
US administration expects business deals worth over 10 billion dollars across
several sectors to be signed during Obama's visit. India also need US support
in getting a entry in key non-proliferation-related groups like the Nuclear Suppliers
Group, the Missile Technology Control Regime, the Australia Group (dealing with
chemical and biological weapons) and the Waassenaar Group (export controls for
conventional arms).
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