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Obama, Clinton India visits aimed at counter balancing rising China: Experts | US President Barack Obama and Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton will make trips to India and the South Asia region in the coming weeks, with an eye toward strengthening alliances to counter-balance China. The US "hedge"
tactic is straightforward -- expand involvement in East Asia regional forums,
military exercises, and agreements to include the US and India, thereby diluting
Chinese opportunities for domination. According to the Christian Science Monitor
(CSM), the Obama administration has lately come around to seeing India as a key
link in a regional safety net. Senior US government officials say India has a
role to play in East Asia, with one calling India an "East Asian power." They
are quick to say they prefer close ties between China and India, and between China
and the United States. But as China grows more assertive in its neighborhood,
the US is looking to deepen cooperation with and among China's neighbors. "I think
the Americans, probably, and the Indian government sees China as a not-necessarily-hostile
state, but a state which could be hostile, whose rise could be threatening. So
therefore a policy of reinsurance - diplomatic consultations, military-to-military
cooperation - without provoking China is probably the correct policy," Stephen
Cohen, a South Asia expert with the Brookings Institute, said at a talk in New
Delhi. Indian officials were clearly upset when Obama visited Beijing last year
and seemingly turned the tables on Delhi by saying that China and the US would
"work together to promote peace, stability, and development" in South Asia. Since
then, US and Indian views on China have converged. That's because Obama got little
in return from his visit to Beijing, and the Chinese have grown more assertive
over territorial disputes in recent months - alarming both the Indians and the
Americans. "There is a congruence of interests and this happened after Obama got
mugged in Beijing," says Sumit Ganguly, an American scholar of South Asia on sabbatical
in Delhi. "They (the US) are still in the hedging mode," says Brahma Chellaney,
a security expert at the Center for Policy Research in Delhi. He added: "There
is an attempt to do what Bush was doing, which is to line up partners.... [But
Bush policy] was driven by a larger geo-strategic blueprint that the Obama administration
lacks." The US has deepened military cooperation with India. US officials point
out that the US has held more than 50 joint-military exercises with India over
the past eight years - more than with any other country. The Obama visit will
coincide with major sales of military equipment to India, including C130J transport
aircraft, improved missiles, and maritime surveillance aircraft. Obama will be
visiting India, Indonesia, Japan, and South Korea, in an effort to bring these
countries together regionally. "They are the four key democracies that you need
to contain China," said Dr. Chellaney. India has already reached out to these
countries, recently signing free trade deals with Japan and South Korea. "In many
ways, this is happening without any kind of push or direction being given by anyone
else, because India's interests are driving it in that direction.... India's trade
with Southeast and East Asia has deepened," said former Indian foreign secretary
Salman Haider.
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