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Parts of Obama coalition drifting toward GOP: Poll | Critical parts of the coalition that delivered President
Obama to the White House in 2008 and gave Democrats control of Congress in 2006 are switching their allegiance to the Republicans in the final phase of the mid-term
Congressional elections, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll.
Republicans have wiped out the advantage held by Democrats in recent election
cycles among women, Roman Catholics, less affluent Americans and independents.
According to the poll, all of those groups broke for Obama in 2008 and for
Congressional
Democrats when they grabbed both chambers from the Republicans four years ago.
If women choose Republicans over Democrats in House races on Tuesday, it will
be the first time they have done so since exit polls began tracking the breakdown
in 1982. The poll provides a pre-Election Day glimpse of a nation so politically
disquieted and disappointed in its current trajectory that 57 percent of the registered
voters surveyed said they were more willing to take a chance this year on a candidate
with little previous political experience. While almost nine in ten respondents
said they considered government spending to be an important issue, and more than
half said they favored smaller government offering fewer services, there was no
consensus on what programs should be cut. There was clear opposition to
addressing
one of the government's biggest long-term challenges - the growing costs of paying
social security benefits - by raising the retirement age or reducing benefits
for future retirees. The poll also shows Americans remain divided over Republican
promises to repeal Obama's health plan. Forty-five percent said the law should
stand, and 41 percent said it should go. The poll does not measure the strength
of individual candidates in specific districts, where indeterminate factors like
voter turnout and even weather can affect results. The poll, taken nationally
Thursday through Tuesday with interviews of 1,173 adults, did not ask about United
States Senate contests, as 14 states do not have Senate races this year. It had
a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points.
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